Recently Dean Belder, metal expert & analyst reviewed the silver price trend for the 2024 at the CY year end. Silver saw ups and downs in 2024, but as the year draws to a close the metal is set to end substantially higher than where it began.
Find out what trends have moved the market over the last 12 months. Despite some volatility, factors like increasing industrial demand, safe-haven buying from investors and weakening mining supply all came together during the year to support gains in the price. All told, silver is up nearly 35 percent since the start of 2024, outperforming gold’s 32 percent gain.
Silver began Q4 on a strong note, reaching US$31.37 per ounce on October 1 and climbing to US$32.18 on October 4; it then slipped to US$30.49 on October 9. However, the white metal’s price didn’t remain low for long. It surged to its year-to-date high of US$34.72 on October 22, also reaching its highest level in 12 years.
The most significant tailwinds for silver came from geopolitical tensions, with what appeared to be a greater likelihood of the Israel-Palestine conflict spilling over into a broader regional war in October. Israel’s attacks on Lebanon, Syria and Iran saw more investors seek the haven of precious metals, benefiting silver.
As November began, the price of silver was again in retreat, trading at US$30.24 by November 15. As the month worse on, silver saw volatility, spiking to US$31.34 on November 22. The rise came as safe-haven investors flocked to the metal following an escalation in the war between Russia and Ukraine.
The US, UK and France said they would allow the use of long-range missiles by Ukraine to attack military targets inside Russia. Previously, Ukraine had only been allowed to use the missiles to strike targets along the border.
The response from Russia was a policy change that would permit the use of nuclear weapons against countries supported by nuclear powers. Following the move, Russia launched a test of an intermediate-range ballistic missile capable of carrying a nuclear payload on a target within Ukraine.
Silver fell to a quarterly low of US$30.11 on November 27, but since then the precious metal has regained some ground. As of December 11, it was trading at US$31.88.
The next Fed meeting is set to run from December 17 to 18. Most analysts expect the central bank to make one last 25 basis point cut before pausing in 2025.
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